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The Index Journal

The public, dated record of our predictions. Every call is frozen with a hash BEFORE the outcome — and the verdict arrives when the horizon matures. It can't be edited after. This is a real track record, not cherry-picking. We show ALL resolved — hits AND misses. Hiding a miss would be cherry-picking; the honest yardstick is seeing everything.

Verdicts

No verdict yet — the first horizon matures in ~6 months. Honesty: there is no shortcut for time.

Open calls (frozen)

Two seals, two different proofs — and we're clear about what each does. Seal 1 (the hash): every call carries a sha256 of the frozen fields (region, CFI, components, date, horizon). Recompute and check it. It proves dating and immutability — that we made the call BEFORE the outcome and didn't edit it after. It does not prove the call is right; it proves there's no hindsight. Seal 2 (the validated track record): the proof of physical reality — whether the calls come true — comes from the verdict when the horizon matures (~Dec 2026 for a firm sample). Default horizon: 180 days. Outcome = real phase events in the region after the call date. Dating without accuracy is just honesty; accuracy without dating is cherry-picking. We need both — that's why we keep them separate. And the dating has an external witness: the root of the entire ledger is anchored to OpenTimestamps (independent calendars → Bitcoin), so the "before" isn't just our word — a party we don't control attests to when. Check it at /api/v1/ledger/root.