US large-load interconnection queues (live ISOs), our classification of official queue data. Committed ≠ delivered; caveats travel with the number. source · method
Numbers you can drop into a filing or a story in five seconds — each linked to a primary source.
Our index verdicts are sealed in a dated, externally timestamped ledger; queue statistics are descriptive reads
of live official data. Built for regulators and journalists — explicit about the method and its limits.
Updated Jul 04, 2026 · automatic
How to cite us
LOADSTAR, the reality index for AI infrastructure (CIIE), accessed Jul 04, 2026. Link to the specific number's primary source and to our open methodology.
Citable numbers (live)
50.3×
Across live U.S. ISO queues, 876.5 GW of large-load interconnection requests sit against just 17.4 GW firmly committed — the queue is 50.3× the confirmed-committed volume.
Descriptive, from live official-queue data. 'Committed' is our per-project classification, not the ISO's interconnection-agreement-executed status; uncommitted ≠ confirmed phantom.
148.6 GW
PJM's large-load interconnection queue is 148.6 GW, but only 17.2 GW (~12%) shows firm commitment across 645 requests.
PJM is the grid serving Ohio. Descriptive; the queue is a graded status, not binary. Behind-the-meter load bypasses the queue.
50
LOADSTAR has sealed 50 dated, hash-chained predictions of which queued large-load projects will withdraw (the phantom dying), from a pool of 3477 at-risk requests.
Prospective, dated and hash-chained BEFORE the outcome (not hindsight); the chain root is folded into our externally timestamped anchor. A risk prior, not a validated hit rate — resolves over time (~Dec 2026).
We pre-announce our own judgment days — nobody in this niche does that. December 15–22, 2026:
the first sealed index predictions mature and their verdicts publish automatically (hit or miss, all of
them — the ledger is append-only, so we can't hide the misses). 2027-03-28: all
50 sealed withdrawal bets reach final accounting — and any predicted project that withdraws
earlier resolves early, week by week, in public. Come back on those dates and judge us — or subscribe
and we'll bring the scoreboard to you.
FAQ — “If no region is phantom, where did the phantom go?”
Into the queue. Phantom is a project-level phenomenon living inside real regions — regions are
aggregates, and almost no region is 100% hype. The pain sits one level down: across live U.S. ISO queues, 876.5 GW of large-load requests sit against 17.4 GW firmly committed — roughly 50.3× the confirmed volume, an ocean of speculative megawatts inside “mixed” and even “real” regions.
Northern Virginia is our most-real region and carries gigawatts of speculative queue at the same
time — both things are true. Utilities size substations per project, not per region; regulators approve
tariffs against load forecasts summed project by project. That's why our detection runs per request:
committed-vs-speculative tier per queue entry, duplicate-request flags (the same project shopping several
utilities), per-announcement credibility scores, and 50 sealed per-project withdrawal predictions.
The regional index is the citable headline; the project layer is where the phantom actually lives — and dies.
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