· How we compute itHow we computed the verdict for New York / New Jersey Metro
New Jersey, US · descriptive, reproducible — no promise of a future hit
Reality Index: 53.5 ±13 · 🟡 MIXED
The formula (reproducible): 0.5·credibilidade(19.0) + 0.5·materialização(88) = 53.5 → 53.5
Industry checklist (our proxy for SemiAnalysis): 2/3 gates (land + power + permit), inferred from our detected signals — not from SemiAnalysis directly.
Confidence: média (±13) — the more signals corroborated and both sides measured, the tighter the band.
This region's CFI: 77/100 (forming)
The Compute Formation Index is the weighted average of 4 signals (0–1 each). Here, with this region's numbers:
| Formation — convergence of signal types | 0.941 |
| Energy — queue + % committed + EIA (LOG) | 0.794 |
| Momentum — signal acceleration (30d vs 30d) | 1.0 |
| Corroboration — committed share of the queue | 0.0 |